Sam Shirazi

The latest attack ad from Winsome Earle-Sears has this quote from Abigail Spanberger Wouldn’t be surprised if majority of Virginians support that statement There is a risk Earle-Sears enters Ken Cuccinelli territory if goes overboard on social issues

Margin at top of ticket really could matter for Virginia House of Delegates Each point above 5% could equate to an additional House seat for Dems So 5% Spanberger win as a floor with some auto-flips But difference between 5% and 10% could be huge in terms of 5 more net seats

The GOP candidate in Virginia House of Delegates district HD-20 has dropped out He lost his job as a Federal contractor and has no income Perhaps a sign of the times… His name will still appear on ballot given the late withdrawal HD-20 was Harris +14 www.princewilliamtimes.com/news/gop-nom...

UVA just beat Cal to go 8-1 for the first time since 1990 Here’s what that means for the Virginia elections All right, this will be last time I do this I appreciate everyone tolerating this as a long suffering UVA football fan

My hot take on Virginia early vote No surprise last day was biggest and will get full numbers tomorrow Will be roughly 1.5M total Dems ahead by all accounts Wildcard is Election Day Top of ticket unlikely to change But AG and close House seats comes down to who shows up

Final Loudoun Numbers for today is 6,171 votes 2024 last day was 7,599 so 81.2% of that Expecting around 70K total early votes in Loudoun There were 124K in 2024 so around 56.4% of that It picked up at end so we’ll see what Election Day looks like

Here is the final Fairfax County number Big final day of over 19K that almost matches final day in 2024 Including mail that will continue to come in, I’m guessing around 200K total early votes here Expecting Virginia overall would be around 100K votes today

Prince William Counting reporting around 7,500 early votes today That will put total early vote there at roughly 75K with some more mail to be added 2021 had 60K and 2024 had 130K But keep in mind satellite locations were open an extra week in 2024

Wow big turnout in Fairfax this Saturday Already over 10K and still got time to go until 5pm Weekends tend to have higher turnout in blue areas Looks like Virginia early voting going out with a bang

Normally not a story that the Attorney General nominee appears at an important campaign event But this election has been different First big public appearance for Jay Jones in final stretch of campaign He needs good turnout in his hometown of Norfolk

If you want to learn more about State Navigate’s final Virginia polls Federal Fallout has you covered with @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social Hear how they reached results and Chaz’s thoughts before election Always interesting to have him and appreciate he made time podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/f...

New Virginia poll from State Navigate Spanberger with big lead Notably relatively less ticket splitting for LG and AG than most polls Jones is up in AG race Plausible he wins if Spanberger wins by 13%but big if There will be Federal Fallout pod out soon statenavigate.org/virginia-pol...

Some places in Fairfax County have lines as of around 10 am Remember voters can go to any early voting location for their county or city