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Nathaniel Rakich

@baseballot.bsky.social

18.1Kfollowers
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Managing editor @votebeat.org. Fall 2025 fellow at the Syracuse University Institute for Democracy, Journalism & Citizenship. Former senior editor and senior elections analyst at FiveThirtyEight. Email, don't DM: nrakich at votebeat dot org

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Nathaniel Rakich·Aug 3

Tonight’s Speedway Classic is not, as widely reported, the first MLB game ever played in Tennessee. Memphis, Nashville, and Chattanooga all had Negro League teams.

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Nathaniel Rakich·Jun 25

I know it's fashionable to say scandals don't matter anymore, but Cuomo really did have a huge weight around his neck. Federal & statewide politicians who resigned after a scandal are 0-for-11 at political comebacks since 1990, with 1 TBD. docs.google.com/spreadsheets...

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Nathaniel Rakich·Aug 1

Firing the BLS commissioner is also a really good way to keep the bad jobs numbers in the news…

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Latest posts

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Nathaniel Rakich·16h

ABC News has now taken all FiveThirtyEight articles completely offline. They now redirect to abcnews dot com.politics. A needless erasure of thousands of pages of knowledge.

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Nathaniel Rakich·2d

I’m at #AAPOR, the annual pollster conference, and Andrew Mercer from Pew Research Center had a great proposal for a more accurate margin-of-error statistic called Margin of Total Error.

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Nathaniel Rakich·3d

Upset brewing? With 30% of the vote counted in the GOP primary for Nebraska secretary of state, Scott Petersen is leading incumbent Bob Evnen 52–48%.

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Nathaniel Rakich·3d

This is big. MO’s new gerrymander can stay in place for now despite signatures being filed for a ballot initiative to repeal it.

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Nathaniel Rakich·3d

New Hampshire's long had one of the latest (non-presidential) primaries in the nation. Starting in 2028, though, it will move up to June. www.nhpr.org/nh-news/2026...

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Nathaniel Rakich·4d

If South Carolina redraws its congressional map, it would also mean pushing back the June 9 primary—something that election officials say would be difficult and expensive. www.greenvilleonline.com/story/news/p...

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Nathaniel Rakich·May 8

Tickets are now on sale for the Congressional Baseball Game! June 10 at Nats Park. Proceeds go to DC-area charities: www.mlb.com/nationals/ti...

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Nathaniel Rakich·May 8

Huge. This is worth 3-4 seats for Republicans—basically equivalent to their possible post-Callais gains in the Deep South.

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Nathaniel Rakich·May 8

This is a fundamental misunderstanding of the Voting Rights Act. It wasn’t meant to protect the rights of minority *politicians.* It was meant to protect the rights of minority *voters.*

PLEASE READ THIS: The congressional redistricting in Tennessee has nothing to do with race. I live in Memphis. This is the reality of the situation: Rep. Steven Cohen (D-TN) - a white dude - has represented Memphis in Congress for nearly 20 years. During his tenure, Republicans nominated a BLACK WOMAN as their choice FIVE times. Democrats could have elected a black woman but she was the wrong political persuasion. So, my question to the black Democrats - did you deny Charlotte Bergmann her seat in Congress because of her skin color or her gender? Facts matter. Memphis Democrats loathe black Republicans more than they do white Republicans.
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Nathaniel Rakich·May 7

Notably, this lawsuit does not mention the Voting Rights Act.

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