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Michael Caley

@michaelcaley.bsky.social

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I write the Expecting Goals newsletter (expectinggoals.com) and I'm gonna try to bring soccer analytics to bluesky. Let's see if it works. He/him.

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Michael Caley·Jun 16

PADDLIN' World Cup projections are fully updated and the system is now wired to update all tables after every match www.expectinggoals.com/p/world-cup-...

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Michael Caley·Sep 11

broadly I think something people miss about bsky is that the two main groups which did not migrate over here en masse are moderates and low trust / shitposter leftists this is a disproportionately a high trust liberal to left space

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Michael Caley·Sep 9

an underrated source of instability over the next few years is Israel's continued desperation to start a full-on regional war

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Michael Caley·Sep 5

ok this was an excellent post and Eric Adams dropping out of the race while speaking from a podium that reads "NEVER QUITS" would have been one of the most perfectly Eric Adams things ever to happen but apparently he's refusing the Trump bribe and staying in the race lol and lmao

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Latest posts

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Michael Caley·0h

slopppppppppppppp

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Michael Caley·1h

<galaxy brain> permanent DST will be terrible for children and especially teenagers, who will see learning loss from school starting in darkness but the sleep data shows that school already starts far too early for teenagers this could force reforms of school schedules for teens' natural rhythms

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Michael Caley·16h

PADDLIN' projections updated www.expectinggoals.com/p/world-cup-...

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Michael Caley·16h

really a masterclass example of "why does midfield matter" that Spain used their advantages in midfield and in the press to keep the ball but also to take away France's primary idea -- transition attacking -- and nullified the most talented attacking four in the world

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Michael Caley·16h

PADDLIN' 1, My lyin' eyes 0 www.expectinggoals.com/p/world-cup-...

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Michael Caley·17h

Spain's counterpress completely took France out of the game -- they took away transition by counterpressing every turnover and France has had no other attacking ideas all day

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Michael Caley·17h

I'M SO HAPPY FOR PEDRO PORRO

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Michael Caley·18h

France have been inexplicably poor in possession Spain have taken some risks in their press to challenge the weak spots in the French xi, to good effect, but also guys who shouldn't be weak spots like Olise keep misplaying the ball

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Michael Caley·18h

Dani Olmo is that fun level where you really are an excellent player but you're still not as good as you think you are

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Michael Caley·18h

I really hate the "I'm trying to clear the ball and someone steps in front of me at the last second" penalty in general but that one ...... at minimum you can't quite say it's the last second lol

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