Jacob Rubashkin

I cobbled together a quick and not at all-exhaustive list of elections reporters, analysts, operatives and analysts - if you're interested in this stuff please follow and share widely! go.bsky.app/A8RNWyo

One thing about Chris Van Hollen many might not know: he came up around these kinds of foreign endeavors. His father was a career FSO and US Ambassador, and his mother was a top analyst at the CIA and State Department. Van Hollen was born in Pakistan and grew up abroad.

🚨Democrat Derek Tran now leads GOP Rep. Michelle Steel in CA-45 — by 46 votes! This would be a Republican to Democratic flip in the House.

A pop-up Super PAC is spending six figures on mailers backing a socialist running as an independent in the Ohio Senate race against Husted and Brown. We won’t know the donors for a while but there are signs it’s a GOP-backed effort.

The Cornell Daily Sun breaks some news — Cornell Police made a drug-related arrest at the Chi Phi house the night *before* the alleged assault took place. Drug violations can result in immediate interim suspension, but that doesn’t seem to have happened. www.cornellsun.com/article/2026...

There are a lot of eyes on Cornell right now. It’s moments like this where having an independent student press is most important, but doing that work has never been more difficult. Please support The Cornell Daily Sun in its mission for truth and accountability.

New Siena College/ReconMR TEXAS poll is absolutely brutal for Republicans—could be a generational wipeout if it comes to pass: SEN Talarico 49 Paxton 43 GOV Hinojosa (D) 49 Abbott (R) 45 Generic ballot R47 D46 9/8-11, 614 LV, live caller/text-to-web, MoE 4.3% reconmr.com/wp-content/u...

“All US Senators are requested to return to the chamber.” They had to make an announcement over the PA system at Griffith Stadium during the 1964 Washington Senators home opener to get pro-Civil Rights US senators back to the Capitol to beat a southern quorum call.

This is DC’s version of Barbenheimer

🚨 Inside Elections House Ratings moves: CA21 (Costa-D) Likely D→Solid D CA45 (Tran-D) Tilt D→Lean D CO5 (Crank-R) Likely R→Lean R KY6 (Barr-R) Solid R→Likely R NJ9 (Pou-D) Lean D→Likely D NV2 (Amodei-R) Solid R→Likely R SC1 (Mace-R) Solid R→Likely R TX15 (De La Cruz-R) Lean R→Tilt R

The Rand Paul-affiliated Protect Freedom PAC is airing what looks like an entirely AI-generated ad backing Republican Catalina Lauf in the FL-19 GOP primary. Includes fake images of her on stage with Trump and with a Secret Service detail. Disclaimer at the end.

NEW: This cycle’s highest-profile independent candidates (Bodnar, Hill etc) all have something in common: a dense network of Democratic donors and dark money groups channeling millions of dollars toward their super PACs. My effort to untangle the web: insideelections.com/untangling-t...

IA-GOV: Toss-up ➡️ Tilt Democratic (flip) IA-SEN: Lean GOP ➡️ Tilt GOP IA-02: Likely GOP ➡️ Lean GOP IA-03: Tilt GOP ➡️ Toss-up State Auditor Rob Sand's rising tide is lifting all Democratic boats in the Hawkeye State. Read more in this week's issue: insideelections.com